Source: Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
By Miles Maguire
A research institute funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation is projecting that COVID-19 will peak in Wisconsin during the middle part of May, with 13 deaths on May 14 and 1,358 patients hospitalized on May 22.
These numbers come from the Seattle-based Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, which said it based its model on data from the World Health Organization, state and local governments and other observations.
The institute projects a total of 853 Wisconsin deaths through Aug. 3. As of Sunday afternoon, the state is reporting 13 deaths and a total of 1,112 cases.
“The projections assume the continuation of strong social distancing measures and other protective measures,” the institute said.
For the country as a whole the institute anticipates 81,114 deaths through Aug. 3.
This number is more conservative than the one offered Sunday by Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. Fauci said the models he has looked at show the national death toll growing to between 100,000 and 200,000.
The IHME model indicates that Wisconsin will not run out of standard hospital beds even when the pandemic crests. The model predicts that statewide 1,358 beds will be needed with 5,364 available in mid-May.
At the same time, there would be a shortage of 30 intensive care units and a shortage of 109 ventilators, according to the institute.
These numbers come from the Seattle-based Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, which said it based its model on data from the World Health Organization, state and local governments and other observations.
The institute projects a total of 853 Wisconsin deaths through Aug. 3. As of Sunday afternoon, the state is reporting 13 deaths and a total of 1,112 cases.
“The projections assume the continuation of strong social distancing measures and other protective measures,” the institute said.
For the country as a whole the institute anticipates 81,114 deaths through Aug. 3.
This number is more conservative than the one offered Sunday by Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. Fauci said the models he has looked at show the national death toll growing to between 100,000 and 200,000.
The IHME model indicates that Wisconsin will not run out of standard hospital beds even when the pandemic crests. The model predicts that statewide 1,358 beds will be needed with 5,364 available in mid-May.
At the same time, there would be a shortage of 30 intensive care units and a shortage of 109 ventilators, according to the institute.
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